Romney Win is Good for Huckabee
With McCain's recent surge in the polls, the best thing for Mike Huckabee today was Romney defeating him in Michigan. National polls have long told us that Romney has had very little appeal outside of the states were he has campaigned aggressively and spent millions of dollars. He is fighting an uphill battle and his chances seem very slim.
John McCain's big defeat tonight will have the important affect of dampening his surge and bringing the media hype over his frontrunner status back to reality. Many times the momentum from a win and the concomitancy of enthusiastic press coverage has the affect of causing a surge more than it does reporting it.
Now you have Obama and McCain who have experienced huge victories only to suffer unexpected defeats in the next round. With the way the polls falsely reported a strong surge for both of them, it would seem that the momentum gained from a victory is sometimes overrated. Almost all the political analysts predicted an easy win for Obama in NH and one for McCain in MI. Instead, both candidates lost by about as much as they were predicted to win by.
Romney only won within the last several hours, but already the reporters have changed their rhetoric from "McCain is the clear frontrunner" to "Romney shakes up the GOP." Most likely the polls will once again reflect a bounce for the winner, but don't be fooled again. South Carolina holds its primary on Saturday where Huckabee has the same kind of strong support that he had in Iowa.
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